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Precursor Forging Tool

I am not sure of these numbers. I am 100% sure the listed ingredients are the cheapest to make the desired precursor, but I am not 100% on the average number of tries to get the precursor (the current estimate is from other people publishing their results - mostly from reddit's Nugkill).

Account Currencies included (No Account Currencies)

The Bard
Carcharias
Chaos Gun
The Chosen
The Colossus
Dawn + Dusk
The Energizer
Howl
The Hunter
Leaf of Kudzu
The Legend
The Lover
Rage
Rodgort's Flame
Spark
Storm
Tooth of Frostfang
Venom
Zap
Random Precursor from weapons
Random Precursor from any rare item

1 Mystic Forge Stone currently costs 122310 to buy (It's only recommended to use it to take the place of an item worth more than that, or you get them for free)

Rare Ingredients
PrecursorPrice to MFIngredient 1Ingredient 2Ingredient 3Ingredient 4

Tooth of Frostfang
Exotic Weapon Axe 80
5.87- / day
1939551

2399998

The cheapest
12 Rares
used in the calculation
4 bought
Rares
2344518
(-13%) profit

781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares
Cleric's Iron Axe of Perception
Rare 79, buy for 1001
13.78-+ / day
Cleric's Iron Axe of Perception
Rare 79, buy for 1001
13.78-+ / day
Cleric's Iron Axe of Perception
Rare 79, buy for 1001
13.78-+ / day
Cleric's Iron Axe of Perception
Rare 79, buy for 1001
13.78-+ / day
3 bought + 1 crafted
Rares
2968708
(-31%) profit

781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares
Dire Aureate Axe of Air
Rare 80, buy for 1068
6.72+ / day
Dire Aureate Axe of Air
Rare 80, buy for 1068
6.72+ / day
Dire Aureate Axe of Air
Rare 80, buy for 1068
6.72+ / day
Rabid Beaded Greataxe
Rare 60, craft for 1866
Expand Recipe
2 bought + 2 crafted
Rares
3699467
(-45%) profit

781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares
Dire Aureate Axe of Air
Rare 80, buy for 1068
6.72+ / day
Dire Aureate Axe of Air
Rare 80, buy for 1068
6.72+ / day
Rabid Beaded Greataxe
Rare 60, craft for 1866
Expand Recipe
Rampager's Krait Battleaxe
Rare 80, craft for 2316
Expand Recipe
1 bought + 3 crafted
Rares
4430226
(-54%) profit

781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares
Dire Aureate Axe of Air
Rare 80, buy for 1068
6.72+ / day
Rabid Beaded Greataxe
Rare 60, craft for 1866
Expand Recipe
Rampager's Krait Battleaxe
Rare 80, craft for 2316
Expand Recipe
Rampager's Krait Battleaxe
Rare 80, craft for 2316
Expand Recipe
4 crafted
Rares
5160985
(-60%) profit

781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares
Rabid Beaded Greataxe
Rare 60, craft for 1866
Expand Recipe
Rampager's Krait Battleaxe
Rare 80, craft for 2316
Expand Recipe
Rampager's Krait Battleaxe
Rare 80, craft for 2316
Expand Recipe
Rampager's Krait Battleaxe
Rare 80, craft for 2316
Expand Recipe
Exotic Ingredients
PrecursorPrice to MFIngredient 1Ingredient 2Ingredient 3Ingredient 4

Tooth of Frostfang
Exotic Weapon Axe 80
5.87- / day
1939551

2399998

The cheapest
7 Exotics
used in the calculation
4 bought
Exotics
997608
(104%) profit

139 attempts = 416 initial exotics
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
3 bought + 1 crafted
Exotics
1952764
(4%) profit

139 attempts = 416 initial exotics
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
2 bought + 2 crafted
Exotics
2907921
(-30%) profit

139 attempts = 416 initial exotics
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
1 bought + 3 crafted
Exotics
3863078
(-47%) profit

139 attempts = 416 initial exotics
Rampager's Iron Axe of Ice
Exotic 79, buy for 2397
19.21-+ / day
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
4 crafted
Exotics
4818235
(-58%) profit

139 attempts = 416 initial exotics
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe
Rabid Pearl Reaver
Exotic 80, craft for 11577
Expand Recipe


Help and Info:
 ● Gives a list of all precursors for you to select, then tells you the cheapest ways to make the precursor you selected by throwing them into the Mystic Forge.
 ● The top combination will have all purchased ingredients. The second combination will have 1 crafted and 3 purchased ingredients. The third combination will have 2 crafted and 2 purchased ingredients. The fourth combination will have 3 crafted and 1 purchased ingredients. The last combination will have all crafted ingredients. You can pick which you want to use.
 ● 'Precursor' is which precursor is being made, and the buy order and sell listing prices for that precursor.
 ● 'Price to MF' is how much it costs to buy all the ingredients that will give you 1 precursor (on average). % profit is if you're selling it. The price and number of items assumes you re-MF any products of failed attempts.
 ● 'Ingredient 1,2,3,4' is which are the cheapest ingredients to throw into the forge and how much to buy or craft them.
 ● These are all averages. That means there will be times when no precursor comes out for 1000 attempts, and times when you get 2 in a row, for example. The strategy is that with a statistically significant amount of tries, you will observe the average return.

Precursor Drop Rates:
 Drop rates is from research posted on reddit from the production of 289 precursors.
 1 in 5 promotes rare to exotic, but appears to have less chance of getting a precursor
 Average level of ingredients needs to be at least 75 to guarantee a level 80 (and thus, a precursor)
 1 in 139 attempts produces a precursor from exotic (start with 416 exotics, including throwing failures back in)
 1 in 781 attempts produces a precursor from rares (start with 2,342 rares, including throwing failures back in)