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I am not sure of these numbers. I am 100% sure the listed ingredients are the cheapest to make the desired precursor, but I am not 100% on the average number of tries to get the precursor (the current estimate is from other people publishing their results - mostly from reddit's Nugkill).
Account Currencies included (No Account Currencies)
The Bard
Carcharias
Chaos Gun
The Chosen
The Colossus
Dawn + Dusk
The Energizer
Howl
The Hunter
Leaf of Kudzu
The Legend
The Lover
Rage
Rodgort's Flame
Spark
Storm
Tooth of Frostfang
Venom
Zap
Random Precursor from weapons
Random Precursor from any rare item
1 Mystic Forge Stone currently costs 12
99
60
to buy (It's only recommended to use it to take the place of an item worth more than that, or you get them for free)| Rare Ingredients | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precursor | Price to MF | Ingredient 1 | Ingredient 2 | Ingredient 3 | Ingredient 4 |
 Chaos Gun Exotic Weapon Pistol 80 4.63+ / day  118 0011154 9599The cheapest 10 Rares used in the calculation | 4 bought Rares 337 7418(-61%) profit 781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day |
| 3 bought + 1 crafted Rares 408 5341(-68%) profit 781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | |
| 2 bought + 2 crafted Rares 479 3264(-73%) profit 781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | |
| 1 bought + 3 crafted Rares 550 1187(-76%) profit 781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Fire Rare 75, buy for 14 421.53-+ / day | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | |
| 4 crafted Rares 620 9109(-79%) profit 781 attempts = 2,342 initial rares | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | Rampager's Krait Handgun Rare 80, craft for 26 51Expand Recipe | |
| Exotic Ingredients | |||||
| Precursor | Price to MF | Ingredient 1 | Ingredient 2 | Ingredient 3 | Ingredient 4 |
Chaos Gun Exotic Weapon Pistol 80 4.63+ / day 118 0011154 9599The cheapest 7 Exotics used in the calculation | 4 bought Exotics 46 8630(181%) profit 139 attempts = 416 initial exotics | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day |
| 3 bought + 1 crafted Exotics 182 6451(-28%) profit 139 attempts = 416 initial exotics | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | |
| 2 bought + 2 crafted Exotics 318 4272(-59%) profit 139 attempts = 416 initial exotics | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | |
| 1 bought + 3 crafted Exotics 454 2092(-71%) profit 139 attempts = 416 initial exotics | Rampager's Iron Pistol of Ogre Slaying Exotic 79, buy for 11 2649.60-+ / day | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | |
| 4 crafted Exotics 589 9913(-78%) profit 139 attempts = 416 initial exotics | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | Rabid Pearl Handcannon Exotic 80, craft for 1 4176Expand Recipe | |
Help and Info:
● Gives a list of all precursors for you to select, then tells you the cheapest ways to make the precursor you selected by throwing them into the Mystic Forge.
● The top combination will have all purchased ingredients. The second combination will have 1 crafted and 3 purchased ingredients. The third combination will have 2 crafted and 2 purchased ingredients. The fourth combination will have 3 crafted and 1 purchased ingredients. The last combination will have all crafted ingredients. You can pick which you want to use.
● 'Precursor' is which precursor is being made, and the buy order and sell listing prices for that precursor.
● 'Price to MF' is how much it costs to buy all the ingredients that will give you 1 precursor (on average). % profit is if you're selling it. The price and number of items assumes you re-MF any products of failed attempts.
● 'Ingredient 1,2,3,4' is which are the cheapest ingredients to throw into the forge and how much to buy or craft them.
● These are all averages. That means there will be times when no precursor comes out for 1000 attempts, and times when you get 2 in a row, for example. The strategy is that with a statistically significant amount of tries, you will observe the average return.
Precursor Drop Rates:
Drop rates is from research posted on reddit from the production of 289 precursors.
1 in 5 promotes rare to exotic, but appears to have less chance of getting a precursor
Average level of ingredients needs to be at least 75 to guarantee a level 80 (and thus, a precursor)
1 in 139 attempts produces a precursor from exotic (start with 416 exotics, including throwing failures back in)
1 in 781 attempts produces a precursor from rares (start with 2,342 rares, including throwing failures back in)